MS · NYSE · STOCK
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Analysis
$214.92
52W $145.66 – $232.25
55/100
$337.66B
17.2
1.21
Is MS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Morgan Stanley (MS) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.33 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.67 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 38.6% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 7.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.3% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 38.6% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 7.90 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.30 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 7.90 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 38.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 7.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.7 to 54.7.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.322
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$155.23
Resistance
$232.12
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$214.35
Above
EMA 21
$214.91
Above
EMA 50
$213.00
Above
EMA 200
$190.54
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
75
Profitability
67
Financial Health
18
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.2×
P/B Ratio
3.05×
PEG Ratio
0.44
Dividend Yield
1.94%
52W High
$232.25
52W Low
$145.66
Quality & Growth
ROE
1510.4%
ROA
118.7%
Gross Margin
5971.7%
Operating Margin
2070.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.1%; Return on assets of 1.2%; Net margin of 16.0%; Gross margin of 59.7%; Current ratio of 1.24 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.75; Free cash flow per share is negative (-9.98); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+28.0% -> +0.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 62.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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