NVR · NASDAQ · STOCK
NVR, Inc.
$6,266.48
52W $5501.01 – $8618.28
61/100
$17.25B
15.7
0.91
Is NVR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates NVR, Inc. (NVR) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.52 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -10.1% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 31.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -10.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -18.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -10.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 60.5.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 52->35 (-18); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bullish at 80.
- Value Analyst joined: bullish at 64.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.284
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$6311.52
Resistance
$6913.90
Bollinger %B
0.55
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$6,331.41
Below
EMA 21
$6,369.79
Below
EMA 50
$6,401.91
Below
EMA 200
$6,797.41
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
80
Growth
39
Profitability
67
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.7×
P/B Ratio
5.16×
PEG Ratio
-0.81
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$8618.28
52W Low
$5501.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
3466.7%
ROA
2287.6%
Gross Margin
2223.5%
Operating Margin
1490.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of -0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.7%; Return on assets of 22.9%; Net margin of 12.1%; Gross margin of 22.2%; Current ratio of 3.38 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (504.28); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 7.6%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-44.2% -> +23.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -22.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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