PFGC · NYSE · STOCK
Performance Food Group (PFGC) Stock Analysis
$94.90
52W $80.82 – $117.48
55/100
$14.90B
41.3
0.87
Is PFGC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Performance Food Group (PFGC) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.17 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.83 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 41.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 54.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.906
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$91.37
Resistance
$99.84
Bollinger %B
0.95
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$93.52
Above
EMA 21
$93.99
Above
EMA 50
$97.59
Below
EMA 200
$98.05
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
26
Growth
60
Profitability
15
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.3×
P/B Ratio
3.02×
PEG Ratio
9.08
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$117.48
52W Low
$80.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
733.4%
ROA
190.6%
Gross Margin
1192.6%
Operating Margin
130.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 9.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.3%; Return on assets of 1.9%; Net margin of 0.5%; Gross margin of 11.9%; Current ratio of 1.51 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.60); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-18.4% -> +98.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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