POST · NASDAQ · STOCK
Post Holdings
$78.83
52W $77.60 – $117.28
53/100
$3.57B
13.2
0.35
Is POST Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Post Holdings (POST) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.65 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.35 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.98) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.98 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 10.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.98 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.98) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.8 to 53.4.
- New bearish signals: 6 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 58->41 (-17); +5 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
22.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.746
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$74.26
Resistance
$82.98
Bollinger %B
-0.17
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$88.42
Below
EMA 21
$89.39
Below
EMA 50
$91.04
Below
EMA 200
$97.94
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
65
Profitability
26
Financial Health
44
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.2×
P/B Ratio
1.15×
PEG Ratio
-2.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$117.28
52W Low
$77.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
894.5%
ROA
248.1%
Gross Margin
2689.0%
Operating Margin
1014.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.9%; Return on assets of 2.5%; Net margin of 3.5%; Gross margin of 26.9%; Current ratio of 1.85 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (18.26); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (-8.9% -> -8.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.3%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Get the Full POST Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →