PSMT · NASDAQ · STOCK
PriceSmart, Inc.
$173.22
52W $105.46 – $199.84
55/100
$5.33B
33.2
0.79
Is PSMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 66%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
31.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.599
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$139.30
Resistance
$198.90
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$180.89
Below
EMA 21
$184.87
Below
EMA 50
$182.41
Below
EMA 200
$157.17
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
31
Profitability
34
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.2×
P/B Ratio
3.75×
PEG Ratio
3.43
Dividend Yield
0.77%
52W High
$199.84
52W Low
$105.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
1161.6%
ROA
638.6%
Gross Margin
1763.5%
Operating Margin
455.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 33.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 3.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.6%; Return on assets of 6.4%; Net margin of 2.8%; Gross margin of 17.6%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.44); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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