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QSR · NYSE · STOCK

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated October 10, 2026
$70.96
52W $64.52 – $81.96
56/100
$24.62B
17.3
0.54
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
56/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+1.1%
-7.8%
0.14:1
Contested

Is QSR Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) Watch with a composite score of 56/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 47.2% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 34.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
  • EPS growing 47.2% YoY — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
  • P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 3.74 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.74) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
  • Current ratio of 0.98 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 34.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bullish
72 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 47.2% YoY
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.74) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.7 to 55.9.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
  • Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: score 50->45 (-5); +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
46.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.023
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.45
Resistance
$71.74
Bollinger %B
0.39
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.67 Above
EMA 21
$72.10 Below
EMA 50
$73.82 Below
EMA 200
$73.35 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
61
Growth
84
Profitability
65
Financial Health
9
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 17.3×
P/B Ratio 6.41×
PEG Ratio 1.65
Dividend Yield 3.62%
52W High $81.96
52W Low $64.52
Quality & Growth
ROE 2135.4%
ROA 302.9%
Gross Margin 4485.0%
Operating Margin 2711.6%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 4.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.4x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.4%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 13.1%; Gross margin of 44.8%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.07; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-10.4% -> +24.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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