RACE · NYSE · STOCK
Ferrari (RACE) Stock Analysis
$389.74
52W $312.51 – $437.15
57/100
$68.59B
37.6
0.61
Is RACE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.60 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 42.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 15.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 42.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.739
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$372.49
Resistance
$393.32
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$391.13
Below
EMA 21
$397.93
Below
EMA 50
$398.90
Below
EMA 200
$387.19
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
3
Growth
74
Profitability
95
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.6×
P/B Ratio
16.76×
PEG Ratio
9.85
Dividend Yield
1.04%
52W High
$437.15
52W Low
$312.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
4087.4%
ROA
1658.6%
Gross Margin
5161.9%
Operating Margin
2978.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.87
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.8x; PEG ratio of 9.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.9%; Return on assets of 16.6%; Net margin of 22.3%; Gross margin of 51.6%; Current ratio of 2.37 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.87; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+8.9% -> +12.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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