RACE · NYSE · STOCK
Ferrari N.V.
$410.26
52W $312.51 – $504.49
53/100
$72.17B
38.5
0.59
Is RACE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.18 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.82 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 42.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 15.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 42.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.951
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$392.69
Resistance
$432.18
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$402.75
Above
EMA 21
$391.71
Above
EMA 50
$376.84
Above
EMA 200
$376.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
2
Profitability
95
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.5×
P/B Ratio
17.13×
PEG Ratio
10.07
Dividend Yield
1.02%
52W High
$504.49
52W Low
$312.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
4087.4%
ROA
1658.6%
Gross Margin
5161.9%
Operating Margin
2978.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.87
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 38.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 17.1x; PEG ratio of 10.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.9%; Return on assets of 16.6%; Net margin of 22.3%; Gross margin of 51.6%; Current ratio of 2.37 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.87; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.52); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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