RL · NYSE · STOCK
Ralph Lauren (RL) Stock Analysis
$385.36
52W $306.55 – $421.60
59/100
$23.30B
24.3
1.35
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is RL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.24 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.76 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 26.6% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 35.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 26.6% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 84 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 32%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 35.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 26.6% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 84 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 62.2 to 58.8.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 60% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: score 48->57 (+9); +3 bearish signal(s); +2 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
84.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.381
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$367.10
Resistance
$392.92
Bollinger %B
1.04
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$373.02
Above
EMA 21
$364.49
Above
EMA 50
$363.23
Above
EMA 200
$359.80
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
79
Profitability
90
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.3×
P/B Ratio
8.64×
PEG Ratio
0.95
Dividend Yield
0.98%
52W High
$421.60
52W Low
$306.55
Quality & Growth
ROE
3313.3%
ROA
1461.3%
Gross Margin
7026.9%
Operating Margin
1493.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.6x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 33.1%; Return on assets of 14.6%; Net margin of 11.8%; Gross margin of 70.3%; Current ratio of 2.04 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.10; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.36); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-55.0% -> +63.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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