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Service Corp Intl (SCI) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated October 10, 2026
$76.92
52W $68.41 – $90.99
53/100
$10.51B
17.0
0.82
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
53/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+4.4%
-1.2%
3.76:1
Contested

Is SCI Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Service Corp Intl (SCI) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 34.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 3.15 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
  • Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 34.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst neutral
52 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 53.2 to 53.2.

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
43.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.088
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$76.02
Resistance
$80.34
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.01 Below
EMA 21
$78.01 Below
EMA 50
$79.34 Below
EMA 200
$79.64 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
70
Growth
51
Profitability
54
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 17.0×
P/B Ratio 6.92×
PEG Ratio 0.79
Dividend Yield 1.82%
52W High $90.99
52W Low $68.41
Quality & Growth
ROE 3312.1%
ROA 290.9%
Gross Margin 2602.6%
Operating Margin 2239.8%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 3.45
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 33.1%; Return on assets of 2.9%; Net margin of 14.4%; Gross margin of 26.0%; Current ratio of 0.53 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.45; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-14.9% -> -7.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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