SFD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Smithfield Foods (SFD) Stock Analysis
$18.60
52W $18.39 – $29.81
62/100
$7.32B
6.9
-0.48
Is SFD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.50 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.29) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 6.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -28.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -24.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 14 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 13%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 6.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -28.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.29) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.5 to 62.5.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.101
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$18.57
Resistance
$25.44
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$18.82
Below
EMA 21
$19.44
Below
EMA 50
$21.04
Below
EMA 200
$23.42
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
81
Profitability
47
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
6.9×
P/B Ratio
1.05×
PEG Ratio
0.48
Dividend Yield
6.38%
52W High
$29.81
52W Low
$18.39
Quality & Growth
ROE
1451.3%
ROA
810.5%
Gross Margin
1317.9%
Operating Margin
865.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 6.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.5%; Return on assets of 8.1%; Net margin of 6.9%; Gross margin of 13.2%; Current ratio of 2.56 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.04); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-22.9% -> -3.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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