SFD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Smithfield Foods (SFD) Stock Analysis
$21.97
52W $21.08 – $29.80
63/100
$8.64B
8.2
-0.50
Is SFD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.20 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 15.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -28.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -24.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 22%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -28.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.29) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.2 to 63.2.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.064
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$21.10
Resistance
$25.44
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$22.14
Below
EMA 21
$22.77
Below
EMA 50
$23.88
Below
EMA 200
$24.50
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
81
Profitability
47
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.2×
P/B Ratio
1.23×
PEG Ratio
0.56
Dividend Yield
5.41%
52W High
$29.80
52W Low
$21.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
1451.3%
ROA
810.5%
Gross Margin
1317.9%
Operating Margin
865.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.5%; Return on assets of 8.1%; Net margin of 6.9%; Gross margin of 13.2%; Current ratio of 2.56 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.04); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-22.9% -> -3.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full SFD Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →