SGI · NYSE · STOCK
Somnigroup International (SGI) Stock Analysis
$62.21
52W $60.08 – $98.56
57/100
$13.08B
24.4
1.24
Is SGI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Somnigroup International (SGI) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 27.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 27.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 75.5% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.51 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 17.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 26.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 27.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.0 to 57.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 42->52 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.014
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$60.66
Resistance
$66.83
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$62.45
Below
EMA 21
$63.34
Below
EMA 50
$65.30
Below
EMA 200
$71.90
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
74
Growth
58
Profitability
48
Financial Health
13
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.4×
P/B Ratio
4.05×
PEG Ratio
0.33
Dividend Yield
1.06%
52W High
$98.56
52W Low
$60.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
1235.8%
ROA
330.7%
Gross Margin
4457.7%
Operating Margin
1281.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.99
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.4%; Return on assets of 3.3%; Net margin of 7.0%; Gross margin of 44.6%; Current ratio of 0.75 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.99; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.65); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-18.1% -> -1.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 9.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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