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SHAK · NYSE · STOCK

Shake Shack Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Updated August 11, 2026
$71.77
52W $51.60 – $110.67
55/100
$2.90B
73.0
1.63
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
Contested

Is SHAK Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 76.6 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • EPS growing 109.5% YoY — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • Beta of 1.69 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 15 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 76.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 37.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst bearish
25 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 76.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
75 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 109.5% YoY
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 37.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
72.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.198
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$51.66
Resistance
$97.27
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$68.70 Above
EMA 21
$64.79 Above
EMA 50
$64.17 Above
EMA 200
$79.23 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
47
Profitability
24
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 73.0×
P/B Ratio 5.32×
PEG Ratio 0.76
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $110.67
52W Low $51.60
Quality & Growth
ROE 870.4%
ROA 241.1%
Gross Margin 2577.2%
Operating Margin 451.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 73.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.3x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.4%; Net margin of 2.6%; Gross margin of 25.8%; Current ratio of 1.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.24); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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