SHAK · NYSE · STOCK
Shake Shack (SHAK) Stock Analysis
$66.87
52W $51.60 – $107.46
50/100
$2.70B
68.1
1.68
Is SHAK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 21 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 72.5 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 109.5% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 21 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 72.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 25.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 87%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 72.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 109.5% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 21 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.2 to 50.2.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
73.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.383
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$51.66
Resistance
$76.25
Bollinger %B
0.97
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$63.44
Above
EMA 21
$62.38
Above
EMA 50
$63.55
Above
EMA 200
$74.29
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
22
Profitability
24
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
68.1×
P/B Ratio
4.96×
PEG Ratio
0.71
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$107.46
52W Low
$51.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
870.4%
ROA
241.1%
Gross Margin
2577.2%
Operating Margin
451.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 68.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.0x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.4%; Net margin of 2.6%; Gross margin of 25.8%; Current ratio of 1.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.24); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 38.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+2.8% -> -100.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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