SLGN · NYSE · STOCK
Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Stock Analysis
$41.68
52W $35.68 – $49.55
53/100
$4.49B
16.7
0.68
Is SLGN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.20 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.80 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -9.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -9.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.8 to 52.8.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.170
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$42.32
Resistance
$43.06
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.96
Below
EMA 21
$42.74
Below
EMA 50
$42.75
Below
EMA 200
$42.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
56
Profitability
29
Financial Health
31
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.7×
P/B Ratio
1.89×
PEG Ratio
-1.68
Dividend Yield
1.93%
52W High
$49.55
52W Low
$35.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
1268.1%
ROA
306.9%
Gross Margin
1707.2%
Operating Margin
960.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of -1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.7%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 4.0%; Gross margin of 17.1%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.24); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.1%; EPS growth accelerating (+16.4% -> +25.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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