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SLGN · NYSE · STOCK

Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated October 10, 2026
$35.47
52W $33.70 – $49.55
53/100
$3.75B
13.9
0.67
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
53/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+11.6%
-0.6%
19.71:1
Moderate

Is SLGN Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.29 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.71 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • EPS declining -9.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 73%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
57 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -9.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
56 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Open Full Terminal →

Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 52.7 to 52.7.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
42.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.153
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$35.26
Resistance
$39.59
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$35.47 Below
EMA 21
$36.52 Below
EMA 50
$38.62 Below
EMA 200
$41.45 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Growth
56
Profitability
29
Financial Health
31
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 13.9×
P/B Ratio 1.58×
PEG Ratio -1.40
Dividend Yield 2.34%
52W High $49.55
52W Low $33.70
Quality & Growth
ROE 1268.1%
ROA 306.9%
Gross Margin 1707.2%
Operating Margin 960.7%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 2.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.7%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 4.0%; Gross margin of 17.1%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.24); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.1%; EPS growth accelerating (+16.4% -> +25.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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