TPR · NYSE · STOCK
Tapestry (TPR) Stock Analysis
$116.14
52W $93.00 – $164.80
55/100
$23.49B
15.5
1.43
Is TPR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.05 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.95 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 1030.9% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.44) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 262.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.6% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 1030.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 42.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.44 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.44) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 262.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 42.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 1030.9% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.44) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.0 to 55.0.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.995
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$93.55
Resistance
$118.45
Bollinger %B
0.60
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$115.75
Above
EMA 21
$117.08
Below
EMA 50
$123.91
Below
EMA 200
$131.19
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
85
Profitability
99
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.5×
P/B Ratio
34.26×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
1.43%
52W High
$164.80
52W Low
$93.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
22073.4%
ROA
2283.0%
Gross Margin
7782.2%
Operating Margin
2391.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
5.71
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 34.3x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 220.7%; Return on assets of 22.8%; Net margin of 19.1%; Gross margin of 77.8%; Current ratio of 1.75 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.71; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.88); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-38.3% -> -20.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 26.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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