TREX · NYSE · STOCK
TREX Stock Analysis
$45.60
52W $29.77 – $66.06
53/100
$4.54B
26.0
1.47
Is TREX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Trex (TREX) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.66 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.34 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.9 to 53.3.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 44->58 (+14).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 60).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.585
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$42.81
Resistance
$44.42
Bollinger %B
0.07
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.15
Above
EMA 21
$46.06
Below
EMA 50
$45.76
Below
EMA 200
$44.93
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
60
Profitability
78
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.0×
P/B Ratio
4.43×
PEG Ratio
-9.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$66.06
52W Low
$29.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
1841.1%
ROA
1277.3%
Gross Margin
3820.4%
Operating Margin
2016.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.4x; PEG ratio of -9.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 18.4%; Return on assets of 12.8%; Net margin of 14.7%; Gross margin of 38.2%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.00); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+1375.0% -> +10.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -11.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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