TREX · NYSE · STOCK
TREX Stock Analysis
$48.73
52W $29.77 – $66.06
63/100
$5.16B
29.5
1.47
Is TREX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Trex (TREX) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.75 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is eps declining -2.5% yoy despite any revenue growth. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -2.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 28%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 28.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -2.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.8 to 62.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.510
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$49.32
Resistance
$50.30
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$48.62
Above
EMA 21
$47.15
Above
EMA 50
$45.56
Above
EMA 200
$44.73
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
60
Profitability
78
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.5×
P/B Ratio
5.03×
PEG Ratio
-10.22
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$66.06
52W Low
$29.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
1841.1%
ROA
1277.3%
Gross Margin
3820.4%
Operating Margin
2016.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.0x; PEG ratio of -10.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 18.4%; Return on assets of 12.8%; Net margin of 14.7%; Gross margin of 38.2%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.00); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+1375.0% -> +10.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -11.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full TREX Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →