TSLA · NASDAQ · STOCK
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Analysis
$382.50
52W $297.38 – $498.83
55/100
$1.51T
324.3
1.92
Is TSLA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tesla Inc (TSLA) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 397.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 18.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 4.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -37.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (11d ago) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 397.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− EPS declining -37.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (11d ago)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.6 to 55.4.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.055
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$337.24
Resistance
$384.29
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$373.98
Above
EMA 21
$368.86
Above
EMA 50
$364.89
Above
EMA 200
$381.04
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
54
Profitability
17
Financial Health
98
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
324.3×
P/B Ratio
14.26×
PEG Ratio
-8.63
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$498.83
52W Low
$297.38
Quality & Growth
ROE
461.9%
ROA
275.3%
Gross Margin
1885.2%
Operating Margin
421.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 324.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.3x; PEG ratio of -8.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.6%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 3.7%; Gross margin of 18.9%; Current ratio of 1.94 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.78); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 36.4%; EPS growth roughly steady (-18.0% -> -19.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 126.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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