TSLA · NASDAQ · STOCK
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Analysis
$348.94
52W $297.38 – $498.83
53/100
$1.43T
307.5
1.83
Is TSLA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tesla Inc (TSLA) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.34 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.66 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 352.8 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 352.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 18.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 4.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -37.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 71 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 352.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− EPS declining -37.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 71 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.7 to 52.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
6.107
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$337.24
Resistance
$367.71
Bollinger %B
1.03
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$343.88
Above
EMA 21
$342.34
Above
EMA 50
$358.40
Below
EMA 200
$387.42
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
54
Profitability
17
Financial Health
98
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
307.5×
P/B Ratio
13.52×
PEG Ratio
-8.19
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$498.83
52W Low
$297.38
Quality & Growth
ROE
461.9%
ROA
275.3%
Gross Margin
1885.2%
Operating Margin
421.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 307.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.5x; PEG ratio of -8.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.6%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 3.7%; Gross margin of 18.9%; Current ratio of 1.94 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.78); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 36.4%; EPS growth roughly steady (-18.0% -> -19.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 126.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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