TSN · NYSE · STOCK
Tyson Foods (TSN) Stock Analysis
$53.42
52W $49.96 – $69.48
52/100
$18.94B
32.0
0.40
Is TSN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Tyson Foods (TSN) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 31.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -26.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 31.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -26.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 52.5.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 80% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 46->39 (-8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.396
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$50.62
Resistance
$57.73
Bollinger %B
0.99
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$52.04
Above
EMA 21
$52.27
Above
EMA 50
$54.00
Below
EMA 200
$57.48
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
76
Profitability
8
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.0×
P/B Ratio
1.01×
PEG Ratio
-1.23
Dividend Yield
3.82%
52W High
$69.48
52W Low
$49.96
Quality & Growth
ROE
262.1%
ROA
129.3%
Gross Margin
615.7%
Operating Margin
248.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.6%; Return on assets of 1.3%; Net margin of 1.0%; Gross margin of 6.2%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.44; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.38); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-10.3% -> +13.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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