TXRH · NASDAQ · STOCK
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Stock Analysis
$161.52
52W $153.82 – $216.30
56/100
$10.62B
25.8
0.81
Is TXRH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.59 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 17 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 27.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 17 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -4.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 55%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 27.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -4.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.50 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
73
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 55.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 55->62 (+7).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.442
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$157.70
Resistance
$175.41
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$161.36
Above
EMA 21
$166.31
Below
EMA 50
$176.57
Below
EMA 200
$179.52
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
37
Profitability
58
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.8×
P/B Ratio
6.81×
PEG Ratio
-5.15
Dividend Yield
1.81%
52W High
$216.30
52W Low
$153.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
2776.2%
ROA
1142.6%
Gross Margin
1529.9%
Operating Margin
798.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.70
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.8x; PEG ratio of -5.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.8%; Return on assets of 11.4%; Net margin of 6.6%; Gross margin of 15.3%; Current ratio of 0.46 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.70; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.19); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.8%; EPS growth decelerating (+46.1% -> -1.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -0.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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