USFD · NYSE · STOCK
US Foods (USFD) Stock Analysis
$97.36
52W $69.88 – $111.42
61/100
$21.46B
29.5
0.86
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is USFD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates US Foods (USFD) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.22 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.78 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 39.0% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 39.0% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 22%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 29.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 39.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.1 to 60.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.792
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$86.72
Resistance
$102.13
Bollinger %B
0.95
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$95.89
Above
EMA 21
$96.27
Above
EMA 50
$97.95
Below
EMA 200
$92.62
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
77
Profitability
34
Financial Health
46
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.5×
P/B Ratio
4.98×
PEG Ratio
0.74
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$111.42
52W Low
$69.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
1569.5%
ROA
484.8%
Gross Margin
1755.4%
Operating Margin
320.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.22
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.0x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.7%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of 1.8%; Gross margin of 17.6%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.22; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.33); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-25.0% -> +83.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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