VFC · NYSE · STOCK
VF (VFC) Stock Analysis
$16.85
52W $12.46 – $22.27
48/100
$6.68B
24.3
0.97
Is VFC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates VF Corporation (VFC) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.82 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.18 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 91 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.91 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 91 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.91) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.5 to 48.2.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
90.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.317
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$16.79
Resistance
$17.68
Bollinger %B
1.07
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$15.62
Above
EMA 21
$14.82
Above
EMA 50
$14.64
Above
EMA 200
$15.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
14
Profitability
49
Financial Health
26
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.3×
P/B Ratio
3.78×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
2.12%
52W High
$22.27
52W Low
$12.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
1378.0%
ROA
274.4%
Gross Margin
5464.7%
Operating Margin
609.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 13.8%; Return on assets of 2.7%; Net margin of 2.9%; Gross margin of 54.6%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.48); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 19.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (-103.6% -> -1250.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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