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Wayfair Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Updated August 11, 2026
$103.28
52W $55.60 – $119.98
55/100
$14.14B
-42.0
2.98
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
Contested

Is W Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Wayfair Inc. (W) Watch with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.24 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.76 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 38.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • ROE of only -659.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 40.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
43 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 38.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bearish
40 / 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst bullish
69 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 26 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
57.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.171
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$91.92
Resistance
$114.80
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$101.11 Above
EMA 21
$96.00 Above
EMA 50
$89.26 Above
EMA 200
$82.00 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
67
Profitability
20
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -42.0×
P/B Ratio -4.89×
PEG Ratio 10.59
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $119.98
52W Low $55.60
Quality & Growth
ROE 1125.1%
ROA -909.9%
Gross Margin 3005.3%
Operating Margin 173.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -1.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -42.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -4.9x; PEG ratio of 10.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of -9.1%; Net margin of -2.5%; Gross margin of 30.1%; Current ratio of 0.74 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.25; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.75); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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