W · NYSE · STOCK
Wayfair (W) Stock Analysis
$99.42
52W $55.60 – $119.98
55/100
$13.62B
-40.5
3.00
Is W Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Wayfair Inc. (W) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 38.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -659.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 38.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 54.8.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.308
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$91.92
Resistance
$114.80
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$99.22
Above
EMA 21
$99.68
Below
EMA 50
$95.34
Above
EMA 200
$85.20
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
85
Profitability
20
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-40.5×
P/B Ratio
-4.71×
PEG Ratio
10.20
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$119.98
52W Low
$55.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
1125.1%
ROA
-909.9%
Gross Margin
3005.3%
Operating Margin
173.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -40.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -4.7x; PEG ratio of 10.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of -9.1%; Net margin of -2.5%; Gross margin of 30.1%; Current ratio of 0.74 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.25; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.75); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-69.4% -> +265.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full W Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →